COVID-19 – Talebiblia

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ABOUT TALEBIBLIA

Talebiblia is a fan site devoted to Nassim Nicholas Taleb, created by Smiljana Skiba. It features a compilation of Taleb's most intriguing social media screenshots and interviews for readers to enjoy and explore. The website provides a resource for anyone looking to gain insights into Taleb's works, whether they are a dedicated reader or a curious newcomer.

Please note that Talebiblia is an independent website and is not affiliated with Nassim Nicholas Taleb in any manner.

Many thanks to Lucia Simeoni and Ashok Atluri for their invaluable assistance in creating and maintaining this website.

To stay up to date with Talebiblia's latest developments, follow Smiljana on Twitter @MasaSkiba

PROBABILITY DEBUNKING DU JOUR Covid Sociopaths are insultingly naive statistically. They are trying to make a difference between “dying WITH” and “dying FROM” Covid. But excess death put losses from Covid, given absence of other causes, at >1 million, ~27% above the 820K est.

Naive libertarians like you w/Ayn Rand character names think like amoebas, making children sophisticated by comparison. You have no understanding of scaling, nuances,& the fact that an individual is embedded in an interractive environment w/other humans. Children are less naive. Few Covidopaths are circulating a statement from my Principia saying the majority should not coerce the minority. Misses the earlier statment in Principia that this does not apply to pandemics where risks don’t scale properly; minority threatens majority. The Gov main role is PP.

Some readers who see my stances on some issue at variance with what they expected never question their reading comprehension. They use my books to confirm their biases. Humanity is FRAGILE to tail risks (pandemics), Ponzis w/0 endpoints are NOT conve, Covid !=> get stronger… Yes outside some derivative contracts in finance, nothing is convex outside of a specific range. Which is why jumping 1 meter strengthens your bones, jumping 10 meters… not so much.

#FooledbyRandomness More than 100 Million Americans got vaccinated. In that age group about 3-4K die every day. The odds of nobody dying since taking the vaccine is close to 0. Same with chicken soup or mastika ice cream I’ve had it with conspiracy theorists. 2) Correction: 100 Million doses.

A lot of people read my books but should not! They get it backwards and promote the ideas in reverse. What killed ½ a million people did not make them stronger. Antifragility requires constraining the left tail. And wearing a mask is not ABOUT YOU. It is about the collective.

COVID REUNIONS The great John Gray was told by a friend that his cat was vegan. “Do you let your cat out?” “Yes”, he answered. So if pple claim they “don’t see anybody”, ask them if they have seen their children. Odds are they did. As in finance, all it takes is one weak link.

People who pathologized those who worried about Covid in January are now giving advice on how to deal with it.

Pandemics: like wars, you know when they start, never when they’ll end. #TheBlackSwan #Denial #RetrospectiveDistortion

ASYMMETRY I kept getting msgs of the sort: “I agree we don’t understand tail risk. But don’t you think we shd consider we might be also erring by overestimating risks of COVID-19?” Translating: “Isn’t the pilot erring by being TOO careful & overestimating risks of a crash?”

The pandemic is not “unprecedented”. What is unprecedented is: FRAGILITY + PANDEMIC Our economic system has never been more fragile, more stretched, more vulnerable to small disruptions. Imbecile, it means it is vulnerable to the smallest disruption.

Talebiblia is a website for devoted fans of Nassim Nicholas Taleb, created by Smiljana Skiba. It features a compilation of Taleb's most intriguing social media screenshots and interviews for readers to enjoy and explore. The website provides a resource for anyone looking to gain insights into Taleb's works, whether they are a dedicated reader or a curious newcomer.

Please note that Talebiblia is an independent website and is not affiliated with Nassim Nicholas Taleb in any manner.

Many thanks to Lucia Simeoni and Ashok Atluri for their invaluable assistance in creating and maintaining this website.

To stay up to date with Talebiblia's latest developments, follow Smiljana on Twitter @MasaSkiba