You are mistaking the necessary for the sufficient
Category: Fallacious Reasoning
OVERT CLUELESSNESS These croissants are bought for ~$.40 to $.80. The markup comes from the monopoly given to the concession. @AOC is the logical empiricist’s nightmare.
1- What people don’t get about “race” ≠ or “heritability” of traits: even it these were true & not fabrications, they wd be dominated by IDIOSYNCRATIC differences. If pple from Mars had an “IQ” lower than earth by 5%, w/variance you wouldn’t see it in ANY 2-paired individuals. What proportion of the population people see have NObel prizes? 1 in 10 million? Not a very smart remark. Read rest of storm.
Too many people think in labels. Mathematicians think in proofs, lawyers in constructs, logicians in operators, dancers in movement, artists in impressions, and idiots in labels. Some have severe problems of reading comprehension (witness logically-challenged journo @TheStalwart ). Labeling people is not “thinking” in labels: thinking is a thought process, labeling is the shortcut result of a thought process. Think. Gabish?
PROBABILITY DU JOUR: What are the odds it was COVID? Let q be the pr. of having a COVID infection (% of the CH population). Let p_1 be the pr. of a healthy 57 y.o dying of a sudden heart attack. Let p_2 be the conditional pr. of a Covid infected 57 y.o dying of a heart attack. https://twitter.com/FT/status/1350528377841733636 Yes, they say that the most likely symptom of heart disease is sudden death.
What works on a small scale almost NEVER expands to large scale. Yes, such a succesfull model that is spread everywhere…Wake up.
The logical fallacy of affirming the consequent. If ALL wars are preceded by tensions, NOT ALL tensions lead to war (empirically, most tensions lead to agreements/parties). If ALL members of the Smith family all tall, NOT ALL tall pple from Smith family.
The NYT generalizing: because its friends have problems, ALL men are a problem. Shoddy. Same defensive generalization when I accuse someone w/o skin in the game of being a BS vendor/pseudoexpert: Taleb calls “everybody” a BS vendor/pseudoexpert.
The logical fallacy of affirming the consequent. If ALL wars are preceded by tensions, NOT ALL tensions lead to war (empirically, most tensions lead to agreements/parties). If ALL members of the Smith family all tall, NOT ALL tall pple from Smith family. In other words, such a reasoning would lead to preemptively arrest all vegetarians w/mustache.
False analogy: Irish wanted specific point. Salafis want to destroy you and your civilization.
